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Table 3 Demographic parameters estimated from seven Y chromosome microsatellite loci in 677 individuals drawn from 52 global populations. Columns: priors (see Table 1 for details of each set of prior distributions); method (RA = rejection algorithm using stepwise mutation model [SMM], symmetrical geometric model [SGM], or range constraint model [RCM], BW = BATWING followed by number of Markov Chain Monte Carlo updates); remaining columns are posterior distributions, with mean and 95 per cent credible interval, TMRCA is the mean time to the most recent common ancestor in years before present (generation time is assumed to be 25 years), μ is mutation rate per locus per generation, N A is ancestral population size, t0 is time of start of exponential population growth in generation before present is rate of exponential population growth per generation

From: Demographic estimates from Y chromosome microsatellite polymorphisms: Analysis of a worldwide sample

Prior set

Method

TMRCA (× 10-3) mean [95%]

μ(× 10-3) mean [95%]

N A mean [95%]

t0(× 103) mean [95%]

r(× 10-2) mean [95%]

P

RA, SMM

86 [30-221]

0.71 [0.34-1.19]

1630 [140-4520]

22 [8-51]

0.77 [0.23-2.13]

P

RA, SGM

58 [20-147]

0.71 [0.36-1.18]

990 [70-3110]

23 [8-52]

0.75 [0.25-2.08]

P

RA, RCM

121 [33-441]

0.73 [0.35-1.22]

2070 [240-6510]

21 [8-50]

0.79 [0.22-2.16]

P

BW, 4 × 106

82 [34-195]

0.80 [0.40-1.34]

2510 [400-11630]

36 [12-73]

0.32 [0.15-0.58]

P

BW, 200 × 106

64 [31-131]

0.79 [0.39-1.32]

710 [250-1740]

48 [24-92]

0.30 [0.14-0.52]

K

RA, SMM

68 [21-178]

0.89 [0.27-2.15]

1020 [220-2410]

24 [7-64]

0.67 [0.20-1.55]

K

RA, SGM

64 [21-155]

0.66 [0.20-1.59]

960 [220-2270]

27 [9-61]

0.67 [0.21-1.60]

K

RA, RCM

78 [22-199]

0.98 [0.29-2.51]

1090 [290-2390]

22 [7-55]

0.69 [0.23-1.55]

K

BW,4 × 106

55 [16-143]

1.27 [0.31-4.02]

760 [190-2350]

42 [4-118]

0.43 [0.11-1.33]

K

BW, 200 × 106

63 [17-178]

1.10 [0.31-2.71]

660 [190-1610]

52 [13-159]

0.37 [0.11-0.92]

K

BW, 800 × 106

61 [18-164]

0.90 [0.27-2.12]

760 [230-1760]

42 [11-124]

0.47 [0.14-1.10]

W

RA, SMM

39 [19-81]

1.68 [1.01-2.72]

940 [250-1940]

11 [5-18]

1.01 [0.46-1.82]

W

RA, SGM

29 [14-57]

1.49 [0.91-2.18]

600 [230-1300]

13 [7-21]

0.85 [0.49-1.29]

W

RA, RCM

83 [20-266]

1.76 [1.08-2.71]

1470 [250-3730]

11 [5-24]

0.87 [0.36-1.95]

W

BW,4 × 106

32 [16-66]

1.85 [1.10-2.78]

1100 [260-4160]

14 [5-26]

0.72 [0.41-1.17]

W

BW, 200 × 106

29 [15-57]

1.81 [1.07-2.74]

590 [240-1210]

16 [9-27]

0.70 [0.40-1.09]

Z

RA, SMM

79 [27-200]

0.71 [0.24-1.54]

1120 [290-2550]

26 [9-63]

0.62 [0.20-1.48]

Z

RA, SGM

71 [24-170]

0.55 [0.18-1.24]

1010 [250-2310]

30 [10-74]

0.62 [0.20-1.42]

Z

RA, RCM

88 [28-215]

0.74 [0.25-1.61]

1210 [330-2660]

26 [9-65]

0.64 [0.20-1.49]

Z

BW,4 × 106

41 [16-94]

1.40 [0.52-2.94]

1490 [540-3420]

23 [5-60]

0.48 [0.18-1.04]

Z

BW, 200 × 106

84 [26-228]

0.72 [0.22-1.64]

690 [210-1630]

80 [22-232]

0.25 [0.08-0.57]